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Old 19-12-2022, 09:51 AM   #1
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Predictions of up to 2.1 million deaths in China after the relaxing of the Zero Covid policy.

https://www.news.com.au/world/asia/c...b2afbe24852eb7

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“Our analysis shows if mainland China sees a similar wave to Hong Kong’s in February, its healthcare system could be pushed to capacity as there could be between 167 and 279 million cases nationwide, which could lead to between 1.3 and 2.1 million deaths,” an Airfinity spokesowman said.

In this scenario, China could see the deaths occur “over the next three months”.

“Our analysis suggests deaths could peak in January while cases may peak late December,” the spokeswoman said.
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Old 19-12-2022, 10:08 AM   #2
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by FoxtrotGolfXray 5.0 View Post
Predictions of up to 2.1 million deaths in China after the relaxing of the Zero Covid policy.

https://www.news.com.au/world/asia/c...b2afbe24852eb7
Yeah, you've got to love news.com's usual clickbait sensationalist headline.
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Old 19-12-2022, 11:43 AM   #3
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by prktkljokr View Post
China has 1.4 billion people 2.1 million people will die of natural causes there too, the reporting of Covid death statistics before the event is quite exaggerated for sure, just to promote the fear factor.
As China seems to reinforce the ideas of collective thoughts/actions, I’d not be surprised if there was a spike in Covid-based illness with psychosomatic aggravation.
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Old 19-12-2022, 12:18 PM   #4
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by GasoLane View Post
Yeah, you've got to love news.com's usual clickbait sensationalist headline.
There's other sources that are reporting similar stories (albeit with slightly less figures) and using other sources for the expected calculations. So, yes, the headline that news.com.au ran with might be sensationalist, but look past the headline at the body of the article.

https://www.canberratimes.com.au/sto...ths-predicted/

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-64018467

Quote:
Originally Posted by prktkljokr
China has 1.4 billion people 2.1 million people will die of natural causes there too, the reporting of Covid death statistics before the event is quite exaggerated for sure, just to promote the fear factor.
Yep, and now there'll be between 1 and 2.1 (depending on the accuracy of the modelling) million additional deaths that China will need to be prepared to deal with.

We've been through this before in this thread with our the impact of covid in country, let's not go over old ground again.

Look past the headlines and look at the impact that this will have in a place like China. We saw it with our hospital system being impacted by the number of cases. It's thought about one third of China's population will have been infected by April next year. That's a massive influx into the public health system.
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Old 19-12-2022, 11:39 AM   #5
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by FoxtrotGolfXray 5.0 View Post
Predictions of up to 2.1 million deaths in China after the relaxing of the Zero Covid policy.

https://www.news.com.au/world/asia/c...b2afbe24852eb7
China has 1.4 billion people 2.1 million people will die of natural causes there too, the reporting of Covid death statistics before the event is quite exaggerated for sure, just to promote the fear factor.
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