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#16621 | ||||
Chairman & Administrator
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Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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Quote:
To try and get a more accurate CMR, we look at cases from 15-30 days ago and then match those with the mortality data for the last 15 days as we know that is roughly the median delay in case mortality and refer to this as the adjusted CMR. Otherwise, the data is skewed because you could have 1k cases last week and almost no deaths as they won't come until next week or the week after. For example the current Victorian CMR for all of 2021 is 0.424% based on ~71k cases but 24k of those cases have been in the last 14 days and they will result in 100-150 deaths which will make the CMR closer to 0.659%. Quote:
For mine, the missing link in that research is the severity and impact measures. It's a great headline grabber to say that 54% of COVID cases (that were hospitalised) still have at least 1 PASC after 6 months but if that '1' is an issue with anxiety or other mental disorder then that puts a different slant on it - not that I'm underestimating the impact of those. The key take-away for me is the chest imaging abnormalities in a high percentage of those survivors and the next thing we need to learn from that is just how severe those abnormalities are. Clearly, the reported incidence of Dyspnea (29.7%); pulmonary diffusion abnormalities (30.3%); ground glass opacification (an increase in lung attenuation) (23.1%); restrictive patterns on spirometry (10.0%) and lung fibrosis (7.0%) are all cause for concern as they impact long term health outcomes and probably life expectancy, particularly as many will have multiple of those symptoms but we need to know (for example) if the GGO is 5% or 10% etc. to assess the likely impact.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#16622 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 173 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9522 (from 0.9206) while the actual line remains above the predictive trend line and is trending slightly upward again. ![]() VIC records 989 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 0.9700 (from 0.9827) while the actual line moves back below the predictive trend. That’s the first day under 1k cases in a little over a month. ![]() Week 16 in Victoria ended today with 72,065 cases to date compared to 19,708 at the same point of the 2020 outbreak and 62,301 for the NSW 2021 outbreak. Weekly case numbers see Victoria with almost twice as many cases as NSW last week but overall the case numbers are below those of the last few weeks. Note that we are comparing historical data for NSW with current data for Victoria as NSW is about 3.5 weeks ahead. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#16623 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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We shouldn't fight between states and territories, we are a.l Australians and all love Australia ❤
Leave the fighting to M & M....Morrison & Macron...... ![]() |
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#16624 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT November 1st 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,466 new cases for Australia and 8 deaths so the CMR is 1.013%. 166 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 0.425%. The UK had 39,682 cases yesterday and 74 deaths for a CMR of 1.546%. 50,455 new cases in the USA yesterday and 475 deaths sees CMR at 1.636. Other notable points: The USA drops below the 10-day 90th percentile for deaths; No countries recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and none drop below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#16625 | |||
Regular Member
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Bundoora VIC
Posts: 246
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Quote:
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Current Rides: HIS - 2018 PDe Hyundai i30 N 6M - Performance Blue HERS - 2020 MR Mitsubishi Triton GLX-R 6M - Red Past Rides: 1997 EL Ford Fairmont 4A - Navy Blue 2006 BK Mazda 3 SP23 5A - Carbon Grey 2010 LV Ford Focus XR5 Turbo 6M - Frozen White 2013 LW Ford Focus ST 6M - Panther Black |
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#16626 | |||
WT GT
![]() Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: The GSS
Posts: 17,758
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NSW fast-tracks freedoms for fully vaccinated people, but bad news for those without COVID-19 jab
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#16627 | |||
#neuteredlyfe
![]() ![]() Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 10,505
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Quote:
What percentage of the population are against the vaccine? As the article points out, 93.6% of the population have had their first jab - you would think that if you wanted to be vaccinated you would have at least had the first jab by now? |
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#16628 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,778
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I don’t think it is. Realistically we’re probably beyond the edge of an “80/20” scenario already, but it would be a poor look to knock off indefinitely when the 20 percent unvaccinated include arguably some of the most likely to suffer if they test positive down the track.
The ongoing language around Australia’s Covid vaccination progress seems slanted towards overly vigorous words. Jabs, shots, hitting goals, smashing targets. Can’t we simply note where it’s going well or to plan, and where it needs some work? Coupled with the near-demonisation of people who choose not to be vaccinated against Covid, it’s a lot of implicit aggression. |
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#16629 | |||
WT GT
![]() Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: The GSS
Posts: 17,758
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Quote:
Going on how the good people of The GSS stepped up when they had to, especially SW Sydney ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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#16630 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,778
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Slight uptick for NSW, noting the high number of tests and also steadily reducing number of hospitalised cases, while Victoria is under a thousand new cases again. All in, it really seems to be going quite a lot better than some forecast models.
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#16631 | |||
Virtuous Bogan (TM)
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: TAS
Posts: 27,553
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Quote:
IE - you no longer have a job if you dont
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#16632 | |||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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#16633 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 4,907
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Quote:
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#16634 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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Quote:
- unable for medical reasons; or - vehemently unwilling There might be a small gain in traction with a few of the latter over time but that's about it.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#16635 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 190 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9879 (from 0.9522) while the actual line remains above the predictive trend line and is trending slightly upward again. ![]() VIC records 941 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 0.9546 (from 0.9700) while the actual line moves back below the predictive trend. That’s the second day under 1k cases in a little over a month but with very low testing numbers. ![]()
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#16636 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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UNIVERSAL JAB
Australian researchers may have paved the way for a universal COVID-19 vaccine which could protect from all future variants of the virus. In a medical breakthrough, scientists from the Sydney - based Garvan Institute have developed a vaccine strategy that would work against all future COVID strains by studying thousands of antibodies that target the coronavirus' spike protein. The spike protein remains the same even after the virus mutates. Garden Institute executive director Christopher Goodnow said current vaccines targeted other parts of the virus that could easily mutate. The West Australian newspaper today 3rd November 2021 ![]() |
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#16637 | ||||
I am Groot
![]() Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Burnett Heads, Qld
Posts: 6,840
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Quote:
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.. ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() "Those were the days when the cars were cars, they weren't built out of an Ikea pack like they are now and clothed in plastic; they were real cars." John Bowe |
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#16638 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: perth
Posts: 4,355
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Quote:
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yes still (as money n time permit) doing the rebuilding the zh fairlane with a clevo 400m 4v heads injected whipple blown with aode 4 speed trans to a 9" ....... we'll get there eventually just remember don't be afraid to try something new. Remember, amateurs built the Ark...Professionals built the Titanic! I have taken up meditation... at least it's better than sitting around doing nothing !! |
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#16639 | |||
Virtuous Bogan (TM)
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: TAS
Posts: 27,553
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Quote:
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#16640 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: perth
Posts: 4,355
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Quote:
and that department like most of our other dept here have had adds open looking for drivers for a while now already and i doubt wages will increase to help interest people to return to driving esp them that left to the mining sector
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yes still (as money n time permit) doing the rebuilding the zh fairlane with a clevo 400m 4v heads injected whipple blown with aode 4 speed trans to a 9" ....... we'll get there eventually just remember don't be afraid to try something new. Remember, amateurs built the Ark...Professionals built the Titanic! I have taken up meditation... at least it's better than sitting around doing nothing !! |
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#16641 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT November 2nd 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,168 new cases for Australia and 13 deaths so the CMR is 1.014%. 129 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 0.416%. The UK had 33,546 cases yesterday and 292 deaths for a CMR of 1.544%. 85,559 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,156 deaths sees CMR at 1.636%. Other notable points: Global cases pass 248M, the last 1M in 3 days; The USA drops below the 10-day 90th percentile for deaths; Greece (6,700); .... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. Montenegro and Turkey move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and none drop below.
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#16642 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 618
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Quote:
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Had: ED Fairmont AU engine 5 speed exhaust extractors, 17" mags, miss the old girl.... Have: 1JZ Soarer dump pipe, exhaust, coilovers ![]() |
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#16643 | |||
WT GT
![]() Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: The GSS
Posts: 17,758
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Quote:
- Most hospitalisations are vaccine injured. - Myocarditis raging among vaxed. - Massive government/ media coverup. Their words, not mine. This video will be deleted by Facebook before too many get to see it. Here’s your chance to wake up. Deleted because absolute rubbish. Fixed for accuracy. ![]() |
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#16645 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 309 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0315 (from 0.9879) while the actual line moves further above the predictive trend line and is trending sharply upward again. ![]() VIC records 1,247 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0116 (from 0.9546) while the actual line moves back above the predictive trend. ![]()
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#16646 | ||
T3/Sprint8
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Australia
Posts: 16,312
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all the assurance why we get vaxxed......
Onwards and forwards, numbers will be snakes and ladders for a long time.
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Tickfords T3/TS50 '02 Sprint8 manual Sept 24 '16 Daily Macan GTS "Don't believe everything you read on the internet. Abraham Lincoln" |
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#16647 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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#16648 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,999
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT November 3rd 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,078 new cases for Australia and 12 deaths so the CMR is 1.014%. 109 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 0.410%. The UK had 40,803 cases yesterday and 217 deaths for a CMR of 1.539%. 78,068 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,531 deaths sees CMR at 1.636%. Other notable points: Europe passes 65M cases; Cayman Islands (437); Laos (1,062); Estonia (3,206); and Slovenia (3,454) - the previous high on 6/1/21; .... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. The Netherlands, Bosnia and Czechia move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and no countries drop below.
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#16649 | ||
Donating Member
![]() Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Heading thru Hell (Corner)
Posts: 8,161
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I don't think this will take the shine too much off the win:
Co-owner of Melbourne Cup winner fined for COVID breaches at Flemington Prominent racing owner Brae Sokolski has been fined $10,000 for breaching strict COVID protocols after his horse Verry Elleegant won Tuesday's Melbourne Cup. Mr Sokolski, who part-owns the winning mare, pleaded guilty to breaching the rules in an investigation by Racing Victoria (RV) stewards. After Verry Elleegant's win, Mr Sokolski jumped a fence into the mounting yard, which was deemed a "yellow zone" under the rules at Flemington Racecourse. He was not granted permission to enter the yard, instead only allowed in the green zone areas of the racecourse. He also pleaded guilty to failing to wear a face mask in the yellow zone. He has been handed a $10,000 fine for the breaches. "Stewards heard submissions on penalty from Mr Sokolski and after doing so took into consideration his guilty plea, his candid evidence, his unblemished record over a long period of time and that he expressed remorse,' RV said in a statement. "The Stewards also took into consideration the nature of the offending, the potential ramifications that could flow from a breach of Racing Victoria's COVID-19 Protocols, and that the penalty must be sufficient enough to deter others from breaching the COVID-19 Protocols."
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Labels are for jars, not for people. Life is a journey, not a destination. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Daily: 2013 FGII EcoLPi in Winter White Play: 2015 FG X XR8 in Emperor Show' N Shine thread Gone, but not forgotten: 2015 SZII petrol Titanium Territory in Emperor |
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#16650 | ||
T3/Sprint8
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Australia
Posts: 16,312
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in that case they should have fined him quad triple ( he can afford it) just so he felt like a heel in front of all and that would make sure won't happen again you think.
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Tickfords T3/TS50 '02 Sprint8 manual Sept 24 '16 Daily Macan GTS "Don't believe everything you read on the internet. Abraham Lincoln" |
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