NSW/VIC
NSW records 284 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9992 (from 0.9828) while the actual line remains above the predictive trend line and is heading upward again.
VIC records 1,510 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9816 (from 0.9697) while the actual line remains behind the predictive trend which has been changed to a 4th order polynomial.
Week 15 in Victoria ended today with
62,101 cases to date compared to
19,417 at the same point of the 2020 outbreak and
57,546 for the NSW 2021 outbreak. Weekly case numbers see Victoria now well above NSW and I expect that those numbers will continue to grow for a while, bearing in mind that we are comparing historical data for NSW with current data for Victoria as NSW is about 3.5 weeks ahead.
