[cs123]

Originally Posted by russellw

Here is a bit of a look at how some of the European countries have fared since the start of the pandemic. In alphabetical order:

Albania: while the case numbers are low at about 5 per 100k of population, they are in the grip of a second wave that has steadily grown since early June and might only just be abating although the trend-line doesn't show that.

Austria: also running around 5 cases / 100k, they had a big dip between April and early June after an early (steep) peak but have been climbing steadily since and while the numbers aren't as bad as the early peak this second wave keeps setting new benchmarks for case numbers.

Bulgaria: a bit lower for case numbers with 2-3 per 100k they have been pretty much climbing apart from a small respite in late May although the last few weeks has seen a reduction of sorts.

Denmark: A bit over 4 cases / 100k, they are also on the climb again after a lengthy period in decline although they haven't reached the levels of the first wave (yet).

Greece: Despite being mostly well below 1 case / 100k; the second wave, like Australia, has proven much worse than the first with the highest numbers recorded in late August. It has softened a bit this last week or so but time will tell if that is a real or temporary gain.

Hungary: now running around 5 cases / 100k this was a pretty graph as they had consistently low daily case numbers until late August when the second wave hit with a vengeance and their highest daily number was only a couple of days ago.

Portugal: now running around 3-4 cases / 100k they got hit hard with an early peak but haven't really made continuous gains since with the recent overall trend being upwards.

Romania[/B]: now running between 5-7 cases / 100k this has been heading the wrong way since early June and although the numbers are a bit peaky (thanks to reporting I suspect) the overall trend is rising.

Serbia: now running below 1 case / 100k this is what I'd expect most countries to look like with an early first wave followed by a period of decline; a second wave wave of 4-6 weeks and then a steady decline as that is got under control.

Do you have any analysis on what those countries did when the second wave hit? ie what has been effective